Arbeitspapier
"Whatever it takes" to Resolve the European Sovereign Debt Crisis? Bond Pricing Regime Switches and Monetary Policy Effects
This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) programme in August 2012. This regime is characterised by a weakened link between spreads and fundamentals, but with higher spreads relative to the pre-crisis period and residual redenomination risk. We also find that unconventional monetary policy measures affect the pricing of sovereign risk not only directly, but also indirectly through changes in banking risk.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6691
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
International Finance: General
Financial Crises
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- Thema
-
euro area
spreads
crisis
time-varying relationship
unconventional monetary policy
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Afonso, António
Arghyrou, Michael G.
Gadea, María Dolores
Kontonikas, Alexandros
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (wo)
-
Munich
- (wann)
-
2017
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Afonso, António
- Arghyrou, Michael G.
- Gadea, María Dolores
- Kontonikas, Alexandros
- Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
Entstanden
- 2017