Arbeitspapier

Get training or wait? Long-run employment effects of training programs for the unemployed in West Germany

Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the long-run differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 2121

Classification
Wirtschaft
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: Public Policy
Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate
Subject
multiple treatments
training programs
employment effects
local linear matching
administrative data
active labor market programs
Arbeitsmarktpolitik
Weiterbildung
Wirkungsanalyse
Arbeitslosigkeit
Schätzung
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fitzenberger, Bernd
Osikominu, Aderonke
Völter, Robert
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fitzenberger, Bernd
  • Osikominu, Aderonke
  • Völter, Robert
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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