Arbeitspapier

Correlation changes between the risk-free rate and sovereign yields of euro area countries

We study correlations between the risk-free rate and sovereign yields of ten euro area countries using smooth transition conditional correlation GARCH (STCC-GARCH) specifications, controlling for credit risk in mean and variance equations and conditioning non-linearly to liquidity risk. Correlations are state-dependent and heterogeneous across jurisdictions. Using panel vector autoregression models, we identify the macro factors influencing the correlations: interbank credit risk, the Greek crisis, and break-up risk. We show that the European Central Bank’s asset purchase programmes helped restore the pass-through relationship. We also make a methodological contribution by estimating all STCC-GARCH parameters at once and introducing an STCC-GARCHX.

ISBN
978-92-899-2227-2
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1979

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
International Financial Markets
Thema
euro area
government bonds
monetary policy
smooth transition models

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
De Santis, Roberto
Stein, Michael
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2016

DOI
doi:10.2866/850460
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • De Santis, Roberto
  • Stein, Michael
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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