Arbeitspapier

Unemployment in the EU: Institutions, prices and growth

This Paper presents a reappraisal of unemployment movements in the European Union. Our analysis is based on the chain reaction theory of unemployment, which focuses on (a) the interaction among labour market adjustment processes, (b) the interplay between these adjustment processes and the dynamic structure of labour market shocks, and (c) the interaction between the adjustment processes and economic growth. We divide the shocks into institutional variables, price variables, and growth drivers. Estimating a system of labour market equations for a panel of EU countries, we derive the dynamic unemployment responses to each shock. Our analysis permits us to distinguish between the short- and long-run effects of the shocks. Different shocks generate different degrees of ‘unemployment persistence’ (responses to temporary shocks) and ‘unemployment responsiveness’ (responses to permanent shocks). We find that the growth drivers play a dominant role in accounting for the main swings in EU unemployment.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CEPR Discussion Paper Series ; No. 4243

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers: General
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits; Retirement Plans; Private Pensions
Thema
Arbeitslosigkeit
Hysteresis
Schock
Arbeitsmarktflexibilisierung
Internationaler Wettbewerb
Konjunktur
Schätzung
EU-Staaten

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Karanassou, Marika
Sala, Héctor
Snower, Dennis J.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
(wo)
London
(wann)
2004

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:21 MESZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Karanassou, Marika
  • Sala, Héctor
  • Snower, Dennis J.
  • Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Entstanden

  • 2004

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