Arbeitspapier

Unemployment in the European Union: institutions, prices, and growth

This paper presents a reappraisal of unemployment movements in the European Union. Our analysis is based on the chain reaction theory of unemployment, which focuses on (a) the interaction among labor market adjustment processes, (b) the interplay between these adjustment processes and the dynamic structure of labor market shocks, and (c) the interaction between the adjustment processes and economic growth. We divide the shocks into institutional variables, price variables, and growth drivers. Estimating a system of labor market equations for a panel of EU countries, we derive the dynamic unemployment responses to each shock. Our analysis permits us to distinguish between the short- and longrun effects of the shocks. Different shocks generate different degrees of "unemployment persistence" (responses to temporary shocks) and "unemployment responsiveness" (responses to permanent shocks). We find that the growth drivers play a dominant role in accounting for the main swings in EU unemployment.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 899

Classification
Wirtschaft
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits; Retirement Plans; Private Pensions
Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers: General
Subject
unemployment
natural rate
labor market shocks
chain reaction theory
Arbeitslosigkeit
Hysteresis
Schock
Arbeitsmarktflexibilisierung
Internationaler Wettbewerb
Konjunktur
Schätzung
EU-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Karanassou, Marika
Sala, Héctor
Snower, Dennis J.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2003

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Karanassou, Marika
  • Sala, Héctor
  • Snower, Dennis J.
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2003

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