Arbeitspapier

Real exchange rates and international co-movement: news-shocks and non-tradable goods with complete markets

We propose a fully flexible, complete-market model of the international business cycle that is consistent with two major empirical facts: positive cross-country co-movement of economic aggregates and a negative correlation between the real exchange rate and relative consumption (the Backus-Smith puzzle). The novelty of our paper is twofold. First, we allow for imperfect substitutability of capital which significantly reinforces Harrold-Balassa-Samuelson effects, producing more empirically relevant movements in real exchange rates. Second, we introduce changes in expectations (news-shocks) as an explanation to the Backus-Smith puzzle through movements in relative hours across countries, while being consistent with expectations-driven economic expansions.

ISBN
978-92-899-2194-7
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1946

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Open Economy Macroeconomics
International Business Cycles
Thema
Backus-Smith Puzzle
news-driven cycles
real-exchange rates

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Lambrias, Kyriacos
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2016

DOI
doi:10.2866/949206
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Lambrias, Kyriacos
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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