Arbeitspapier

Commodity price co-movement and global economic activity

Guided by a macroeconomic model in which non-energy commodity prices are endogenously determined, we apply a new factor-based identification strategy to decompose the historical sources of changes in commodity prices and global economic activity. The model yields a factor structure for commodity prices and identification conditions that provide the factors with an economic interpretation: one factor captures the combined contribution of shocks that affect commodity markets only through general-equilibrium forces. Applied to a cross-section of commodity prices since 1968, the theoretical restrictions are consistent with the data and yield structural interpretations of the common factors in commodity prices. Commodity-related shocks have contributed modestly to global economic fluctuations.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2014-32

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Economic models
International topics

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Alquist, Ron
Coibion, Olivier
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2014

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2014-32
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Alquist, Ron
  • Coibion, Olivier
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2014

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