Arbeitspapier

Illusion of Expertise in Portfolio Decisions - An Experimental Approach

Overall, 72 subjects invest their endowment in four risky assets. Each com-bination of assets yields the same expected return and variance of returns. Illusion of expertise prevails when one prefers nevertheless the self-selected portfolio. After being randomly assigned to groups of four subjects are asked to elect their expert based on responses to a prior decision task. Using the random price mecha-nism reveals that 64% of the subjects prefer their own portfolio over the average group portfolio or the expert's port-folio. Illusion of expertise is shown to be stable individually, over alternatives, and for both eliciting methods, willingness to pay and to accept.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 621

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
investment decisions
portfolio selection
overconfidence
unrealistic optimism
illusion of control
endowment effect

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fellner, Gerlinde
Güth, Werner
Maciejovsky, Boris
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2001

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fellner, Gerlinde
  • Güth, Werner
  • Maciejovsky, Boris
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2001

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