Arbeitspapier
On GDP-employment decoupling in Germany
This paper investigates the time-varying relationship between German output and employment growth, in particular their decoupling in recent years. We estimate a correlated unobserved components model that allows for both persistent and cyclical time variation in the employment impact of GDP as well as an autonomous employment component capturing other factors than real output. As one result, we measure a permanent decline in Verdoorn's coefficient as well as prono unced effects of the autonomous employment component in the recent years. The development of the estimated impact parameters is shown to crucially depend on structural change, but also on labour availability and business expectations.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: IAB-Discussion Paper ; No. 21/2014
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Labor Demand
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
- Thema
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decoupling
unobserved components
time-varying coefficient
Verdoorn's law
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Klinger, Sabine
Weber, Enzo
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)
- (wo)
-
Nürnberg
- (wann)
-
2014
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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03.03.2025, 16:27 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Klinger, Sabine
- Weber, Enzo
- Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)
Entstanden
- 2014