Arbeitspapier

Measuring Inflation Expectations in Interwar Britain

What caused the recovery from the British Great Depression? A leading explanation - the “expectations channel” - suggests that a shift in expected inflation lowered real interest rates and stimulated consumption and investment. However, few studies have measured, or tested the economic consequences of, inflation expectations. In this paper, we collect high-frequency information from primary and secondary sources to measure expected inflation in the United Kingdom between the wars. A VAR model suggests that inflation expectations were an important source of the early stages of economic recovery in interwar Britain.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9425

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: Europe: 1913-
Thema
policy regime change
economic history
Great Depression

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Lennard, Jason
Meinecke, Finn
Solomou, Solomos
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2021

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Lennard, Jason
  • Meinecke, Finn
  • Solomou, Solomos
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2021

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