Arbeitspapier

Measuring Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: The Effect of Guided vs Non-Guided Inflation Questions

An experiment using a representative survey of the German population shows that letting respondents report a number rather than asking them to choose from a list of predefined ranges lowers the response rate for both perceived past and expected inflation and decreases (increases) reported past (expected) inflation. Income, education, gender, objective and subjective knowledge about monetary policy, and political affiliation affect the effect's size but not its sign. East and West German respondents who were 15 or older when the Berlin Wall fell have reactions different from those who were younger at that time, which supports the 'impressionable years' hypothesis based on different inflation experiences.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10564

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Cultural Economics; Economic Sociology; Economic Anthropology: General
Thema
inflation perception
inflation expectation
survey question design
Germany
household survey
impressionable years hypothesis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Hayo, Bernd
Méon, Pierre-Guillaume
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2023

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Hayo, Bernd
  • Méon, Pierre-Guillaume
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2023

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