Arbeitspapier

Information markets, elections and contracts

Politicians may pander to public opinion and may renounce undertaking beneficial long-term projects. To alleviate this problem, we introduce a triple mechanism involving political information markets, reelection threshold contracts, and democratic elections. An information market is used to predict the long-term performance of a policy, while threshold contracts stipulate a price level on the political information market that a politician must reach to have the right to stand for reelection. Reelection thresholds are offered by politicians during campaigns. We show that, on balance, the triple mechanism increases social welfare. Finally, we suggest several ways to avoid the manipulation of information markets and we discuss possible pitfalls of the mechanism.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3327

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Thema
democracy
elections
information markets
threshold contracts and triple mechanism
Ökonomische Theorie der Demokratie
Informationsverhalten
Wahlverhalten
Vertrag
Public Choice
Soziale Wohlfahrtsfunktion
Wohlfahrtseffekt
Theorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Gersbach, Hans
Müller, Markus
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2011

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Gersbach, Hans
  • Müller, Markus
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2011

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