Arbeitspapier

Political Risk and Capital Flight

Capital flight often amounts to a substantial proportion of GDP when developing countries face crises. This paper presents a portfolio choice model that relates capital flight to rate of return differentials, risk aversion, and three types of risk: financial risk, political risk, and policy risk. Estimating the equilibrium capital flight equation for a panel of 47 developing countries over 16 years, we show that all three types of risk have a statistically significant impact on capital flight. Quantitatively, political risk is the most important factor causing capital flight. We also identify several political factors that reduce capital flight by signaling market-oriented reforms are imminent.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Claremont Colleges Working Papers in Economics ; No. 2001-10

Classification
Wirtschaft
Capitalist Systems: Political Economy
Subject
capital flight
political risk
policy risk
portfolio choice

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Le, Quan
Zak, Paul J.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Claremont McKenna College, Department of Economics
(where)
Claremont, CA
(when)
2001

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Le, Quan
  • Zak, Paul J.
  • Claremont McKenna College, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2001

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