Arbeitspapier

Capital flight: China's experience

We study the empirical determinants of China's capital flight. In addition to the covered interest differential, our empirical exercise includes a rather exhaustive list of macroeconomic variables and a few institutional factors. Overall, our regression exercise shows that China's capital flight is quite well explained by its own history and covered interest differentials. The other possible determinants offer relatively small additional explanatory power. It is also found that China's capital flight responds differently to the components of covered interest differentials and to the positive and negative components of these variables. The response pattern, however, depends on the choice of data frequency. The general impression is that the monthly results are more intuitive than the quarterly ones.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 2931

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Finance: General
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
International Financial Markets
Subject
covered interest differential
forward premium
expected depreciation
asymmetric response
macro determinants
Kapitalflucht
Zinsparität
Devisentermingeschäft
Erwartungstheorie
Makroökonomischer Einfluss
China

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cheung, Yin-Wong
Qian, Xingwang
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cheung, Yin-Wong
  • Qian, Xingwang
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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