Arbeitspapier

Duration dependence, lagged duration dependence, and occurrence dependence in individual employment histories

This paper investigates the form and magnitude of a variety of state dependence effects for prime-aged men in Germany. I differentiate between three labor market states: employment, unemployment, and out of labor force. Results indicate that all forms of state dependence are present in the data, in particular, there is strong duration dependence in employment and unemployment. Furthermore, past unemployment experiences are scarring and make future unemployment more likely while past employment experiences help to find new employment, but do not help to remain employed. Simulations are conducted in order to investigate the effects of possible interventions in the labor market.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: University of Tübingen Working Papers in Economics and Finance ; No. 26

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Thema
state dependence
transition data
event history analysis
unobserved heterogeneity
Erwerbsverlauf
Arbeitslosigkeit
Event Study
Hysteresis
Dauer
Männer
Schätzung
Deutschland

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Niedergesäss, Markus
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Tübingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences
(wo)
Tübingen
(wann)
2012

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:21-opus-60246
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Niedergesäss, Markus
  • University of Tübingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences

Entstanden

  • 2012

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