Arbeitspapier

State dependence, duration dependence and unobserved heterogeneity in the employment transitions of the over-50s

This paper examines employment transitions among men and women in the UK aged between 50 and the state pension age. We begin by examining the issue of duration dependence, using standard duration models. We then use a fourth order Markov model to estimate quarterly transitions while allowing for potential endogeneity of initial conditions. The results reject exogeneity of initial conditions and show the importance of both duration dependence and state dependence. This implies there is the potential for any individual to become trapped in non-employment and, ideally, policy should intervene as soon as an individual begins a period of non-employment.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ISER Working Paper Series ; No. 2007-16

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Cappellari, Lorenzo
Dorsett, Richard
Haile, Getinet
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)
(wo)
Colchester
(wann)
2007

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Cappellari, Lorenzo
  • Dorsett, Richard
  • Haile, Getinet
  • University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)

Entstanden

  • 2007

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