Arbeitspapier
The Information in Systemic Risk Rankings
We propose to pool alternative systemic risk rankings for financial institutions using the method of principal components. The resulting overall ranking is less affected by estimation uncertainty and model risk. We apply our methodology to disentangle the common signal and the idiosyncratic components from a selection of key systemic risk rankings that are recently proposed. We use a sample of 113 listed financial sector firms in the European Union over the period 2002-2013. The implied ranking from the principal components is less volatile than most individual risk rankings and leads to less turnover among the top ranked institutions. We also find that price-based rankings and fundamentals based rankings deviated substantially and for a prolonged time in the period leading up to the financial crisis. We test the adequacy of our newly pooled systemic risk ranking by relating it to credit default swap premia.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 15-070/III/DSF94
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Financial Crises
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
- Thema
-
systemic risk contribution
risk rankings
forecast combination
financial regulation
banking supervision
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Nucera, Federico
Schwaab, Bernd
Koopman, Siem Jan
Lucas, André
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Tinbergen Institute
- (wo)
-
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
- (wann)
-
2015
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Nucera, Federico
- Schwaab, Bernd
- Koopman, Siem Jan
- Lucas, André
- Tinbergen Institute
Entstanden
- 2015
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