Very simple Markov-perfect industry dynamics

Arbeitspapier

This paper develops an econometric model of industry dynamics for concentrated markets that can be estimated very quickly from market-level panel data on the number of producers and consumers using a nested fixed-point algorithm. We show that the model has an essentially unique symmetric Markov-perfect equilibrium that can be calculated from the fixed points of a finite sequence of low-dimensional contraction mappings. Our nested fixed point procedure extends Rust's (1987) to account for the observable implications of mixed strategies on survival. We illustrate the model's empirical application with ten years of County Business Patterns data from the Motion Picture Theaters industry in 573 Micropolitan Statistical Areas. The results are suggestive of fierce competition between theaters in the market for film exhibition rights.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: Working Paper ; No. 2013-20

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets ; Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities ; Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games; Repeated Games
• Thema: demand uncertainty ; dynamic oligopoly ; fiem entry and exit ; Markov-perfect equilibrium ; nested fixed point estimator ; sunk costs ; toughness of competition

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Abbring, Jaap H. ; Campbell, Jeffrey R. ; Tilly, Jan ; Yang, Nan
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
• (wo): Chicago, IL
• (wann): 2013

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/96641
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ