Arbeitspapier

ESG Factors and Firms' Credit Risk

We study the relationship between the risk of default and Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors using Supervised Machine Learning (SML) techniques on a cross-section of European listed companies. Our proxy for credit risk is the z-score originally proposed by Altman (1968). We consider an extensive number of ESG raw factors sourced from the rating provider MSCI as potential explanatory variables. In a first stage we show, using different SML methods such as LASSO and Random Forest, that a selection of ESG factors, in addition to the usual accounting ratios, helps explaining a firm's probability of default. In a second stage, we measure the impact of the selected variables on the risk of default. Our approach provides a novel perspective to understand which environmental, social responsibility and governance characteristics may reinforce the credit score of individual companies.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 036.2022

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Credit risk
Z-scores
ESG factors
Machine learning

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bonacorsi, Laura
Cerasi, Vittoria
Galfrascoli, Paola
Manera, Matteo
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)
(wo)
Milano
(wann)
2022

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Bonacorsi, Laura
  • Cerasi, Vittoria
  • Galfrascoli, Paola
  • Manera, Matteo
  • Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)

Entstanden

  • 2022

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