Arbeitspapier
ESG Factors and Firms' Credit Risk
We study the relationship between the risk of default and Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors using Supervised Machine Learning (SML) techniques on a cross-section of European listed companies. Our proxy for credit risk is the z-score originally proposed by Altman (1968). We consider an extensive number of ESG raw factors sourced from the rating provider MSCI as potential explanatory variables. In a first stage we show, using different SML methods such as LASSO and Random Forest, that a selection of ESG factors, in addition to the usual accounting ratios, helps explaining a firm's probability of default. In a second stage, we measure the impact of the selected variables on the risk of default. Our approach provides a novel perspective to understand which environmental, social responsibility and governance characteristics may reinforce the credit score of individual companies.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Working Paper ; No. 036.2022
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
- Thema
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Credit risk
Z-scores
ESG factors
Machine learning
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Bonacorsi, Laura
Cerasi, Vittoria
Galfrascoli, Paola
Manera, Matteo
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)
- (wo)
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Milano
- (wann)
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2022
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Bonacorsi, Laura
- Cerasi, Vittoria
- Galfrascoli, Paola
- Manera, Matteo
- Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)
Entstanden
- 2022