Arbeitspapier

Decreased effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in Japan's aging society

This paper studies how an aging population affects economic performance and the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies. We develop a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous households, workers, and retirees. We demonstrate that an increase in the proportion of working population increases aggregate output, consumption, and investment by increasing total labor supply in the long run. It also increases wages and reduces social security burden of the government. This paper also finds that effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies is weakened when the proportion of retirees becomes larger. This is the reason why recent monetary policies cannot recover the Japanese economy from the prolonged stagnation.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ADBI Working Paper ; No. 691

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Fiscal Policy
Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
Subject
Economics
Social development and protection
Japan

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Yoshino, Naoyuki
Miyamoto, Hiroaki
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)
(where)
Tokyo
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Yoshino, Naoyuki
  • Miyamoto, Hiroaki
  • Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)

Time of origin

  • 2017

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