Arbeitspapier

How does population aging affect the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policies?

This paper studies how population aging affects macroeconomic performance and the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies. By using a new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous households, we find that the effectiveness of monetary policy diminishes as population aging proceeds. We then examine how population aging modifies the fiscal policy effect by estimating fiscal multipliers in both aging and non-aging economies. We find that population aging weakens the effectiveness of fiscal stimulus. Our analyses suggest that neither monetary policy nor fiscal policy would be effective in aging economies, and structural reform measures would have a more important role.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ADBI Working Paper Series ; No. 1064

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Fiscal Policy
Demographic Economics: General
Subject
population aging
monetary policy
fiscal policy
DSGE
fiscal multipliers

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Yoshino, Naoyuki
Miyamoto, Hiroaki
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)
(where)
Tokyo
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Yoshino, Naoyuki
  • Miyamoto, Hiroaki
  • Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)

Time of origin

  • 2019

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