Arbeitspapier

Normalization in econometrics

The issue of normalization arises whenever two different values for a vector of unknown parameters imply the identical economic model. A normalization does not just imply a rule for selecting which point, among equivalent ones, to call the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). It also governs the topography of the set of points that go into a small-sample confidence interval associated with that MLE. A poor normalization can lead to multimodal distributions, disjoint confidence intervals, and very misleading characterizations of the true statistical uncertainty. This paper introduces the identification principle as a framework upon which a normalization should be imposed, according to which the boundaries of the allowable parameter space should correspond to loci along which the model is locally unidentified. The authors illustrate these issues with examples taken from mixture models, structural VARs, and cointegration.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2004-13

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
VAR-Modell
Kointegration
Maximum-Likelihood-Methode
Statistische Verteilung

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hamilton, James D.
Waggoner, Daniel F.
Zha, Tao
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
(where)
Atlanta, GA
(when)
2004

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hamilton, James D.
  • Waggoner, Daniel F.
  • Zha, Tao
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Time of origin

  • 2004

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