Arbeitspapier

The tress of having a single monetary policy in Europe

This paper estimates forward-looking Taylor rules for the euro area. Using the asymmetries in inflation and cyclical output developments across countries, we investigate the adequacy of the single monetary policy for each of the EuropeanMonetary Union (EMU) member countries. Notable differences emerge across the countries. Taking a euro area perspective, we also show that it depends upon the underlying country weighting scheme in the monetary decision process of the ECB whether or not there has been a synchronisation of business and inflation cycles among the EMU member countries over the years. Finally, we produce an estimate of the actual policy weights the ECB has implicitly attached to each of the member countries. Developments in small member countries have received more than proportional weights in actual monetary policy decisions of the ECB.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: KOF Working Papers ; No. 190

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Thema
Taylor rule
monetary policy
ECB
stress
business cycle synchronisation
Taylor-Regel
Geldpolitik
Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion
Konjunkturzusammenhang
EU-Staaten

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Sturm, Jan-Egbert
Wollmershäuser, Timo
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
ETH Zurich, KOF Swiss Economic Institute
(wo)
Zurich
(wann)
2008

DOI
doi:10.3929/ethz-a-005552299
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Sturm, Jan-Egbert
  • Wollmershäuser, Timo
  • ETH Zurich, KOF Swiss Economic Institute

Entstanden

  • 2008

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