Arbeitspapier

On robustness of average inflation targeting

This paper considers the performance of average inflation targeting (AIT) policy in a New Keynesian model with adaptive learning agents. Our analysis raises concerns regarding robustness of AIT when agents have imperfect knowledge. In particular, the target steady state can be locally unstable under learning if details about the policy are not publicly available. Near the low steady state with interest rates at the zero lower bound, AIT does not necessarily outperform a standard inflation targeting policy. Policymakers can improve outcomes under AIT by (i) targeting a discounted average of inflation, or (ii) communicating the data window for the target.

Sprache
Englisch
ISBN
978-952-323-373-7

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 6/2021

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Thema
Adaptive Learning
Inflation Targeting
Zero Interest Rate Lower Bound

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Honkapohja, Seppo
McClung, Nigel
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2021

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:24 MESZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Honkapohja, Seppo
  • McClung, Nigel
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2021

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