Arbeitspapier
The strategy of manipulating conflict
Two decision-makers choose hawkish or dovish actions in a conflict game with incomplete information. The decision-making can be manipulated by extremists who send publicly observed cheap-talk messages. The power of extremists depends on the nature of the underlying conflict game. If actions are strategic complements, a hawkish extremist can increase the likelihood of conflict by sending messages which trigger a fear-spiral of hawkish actions. This reduces the welfare of both decision-makers. If actions are strategic substitutes, a dovish extremist (pacifist) can send messages which cause one decision-maker to back down and become more dovish. This reduces his welfare but benefits the other decision-maker. The hawkish extremist is unable to manipulate the decision-makers if actions are strategic substitutes, and the pacifist is equally powerless if actions are strategic complements.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2009-06
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
- Thema
-
global strategy
Politischer Konflikt
Politische Gewalt
Signalling
Spieltheorie
Theorie
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Baliga, Sandeep
Sjostrom, Tomas
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Rutgers University, Department of Economics
- (wo)
-
New Brunswick, NJ
- (wann)
-
2009
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Baliga, Sandeep
- Sjostrom, Tomas
- Rutgers University, Department of Economics
Entstanden
- 2009