Transport map Bayesian parameter estimation for dynamical systems

Abstract: Accurate online state and parameter estimation of uncertain non‐linear dynamical systems is a demanding task that has been traditionally handled by adopting non‐linear Kalman Filters or particle filters. However, in case of Kalman filters the system needs to be linearised and for particle filters the computational demand can be high. Recent advances in optimal transport theory and the application to Bayesian model updating pave the way for other approaches to system and parameter identification. They also provide a way of formulating the problem in such a way that efficient online estimation for complex systems is possible. In this work, we investigate the properties of the transport map approach when compared to standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo in an off‐line setting as a first step towards on‐line parameter estimation. We apply both approaches to an analytical exponential model and a dynamical system with seven unknown parameters subjected to ground displacement. Details on the theory of transport maps and on the used MCMC algorithm are also given.

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Transport map Bayesian parameter estimation for dynamical systems ; volume:23 ; number:1 ; year:2023 ; extent:6
Proceedings in applied mathematics and mechanics ; 23, Heft 1 (2023) (gesamt 6)

Creator
Grashorn, Jan
Urrea-Quintero, Jorge-Humberto
Broggi, Matteo
Chamoin, Ludovic
Beer, Michael

DOI
10.1002/pamm.202200136
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2023060115163328119337
Rights
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
14.08.2025, 10:45 AM CEST

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Associated

  • Grashorn, Jan
  • Urrea-Quintero, Jorge-Humberto
  • Broggi, Matteo
  • Chamoin, Ludovic
  • Beer, Michael

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