Arbeitspapier

Bioenergy and Global Land Use Change

This is the first paper that estimates the global land use change impact of growth of the bioenergy sector. Applying time-series analytical mechanisms to fuel, biofuel and agricultural commodity prices and production, we estimate the long-rung relationship between energy prices, bioenergy production and the global land use change. Our results suggest that rising energy prices and bioenergy production significantly contribute to the global land use change both through the direct and indirect land use change impact. Globally, the total agricultural area yearly increases by 35578.1 thousand ha due to increasing oil price, and by 12125.1 thousand ha due to increasing biofuel production, which corresponds to 0.73% and 0.25% of the total world-wide agricultural area, respectively. Soya land use change and wheat land use change have the highest elasticities both with respect to oil price and biofuel production. In contrast, non-biomass crops (grassland and rice) have negative land use change elasticities. Region-specific results suggest that South America faces the largest yearly total land use change associated with oil price increase (+10600.7 thousand ha), whereas Asia (+8918.6 thousand ha), South America (+4024.9 thousand ha) and North America (+1311.5 thousand ha) have the largest yearly total land use change associated with increase in biofuel production.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: EERI Research Paper Series ; No. 12/2012

Classification
Wirtschaft
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Model Construction and Estimation
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness
Alternative Energy Sources
Subject
Land use change
bioenergy
commodity prices
biofuel support policies

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ciaian, Pavel
Kancs, d'Artis
Rajcaniova, Miroslava
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI)
(where)
Brussels
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
07.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ciaian, Pavel
  • Kancs, d'Artis
  • Rajcaniova, Miroslava
  • Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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