Arbeitspapier

Synchronization and Diversity in Business Cycles: A Network Approach Applied to the European Union

This paper analyses synchronization in business cycles across the European Union (EU) since 1989. We include both old and new European Union members and countries which are currently negotiating accession, as well as potential European Union members. Our methodological approach is based on the correlation matrix and the networks within, which allows us to summarize the individual interaction and co-movement, while also capturing the existing heterogeneity of connectivity within the European economic system. The results indicate that the synchronization of the old EU countries remained stable until the current financial crisis. Additionally, the synchronization of the new and potential members has approached to the old EU members although we observe the existence of different synchronization levels and dynamics in output growth in single countries as well as in groups of countries. Some countries have achieved an important degree of co-movement (such as the Baltic Republics, Hungary, Slovenia and Iceland), while others have experienced reduced synchronization, or even desynchronization (such as Romania, Bulgaria and even Greece and Ireland).

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CREMA Working Paper ; No. 2012-01

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Neural Networks and Related Topics
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Thema
Business cycle synchronization
European Union countries
EU candidates
complex systems
network topology

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Gomez, David Matesanz
Ortega, Guillermo J.
Torgler, Benno
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA)
(wo)
Basel
(wann)
2012

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Gomez, David Matesanz
  • Ortega, Guillermo J.
  • Torgler, Benno
  • Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA)

Entstanden

  • 2012

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