Arbeitspapier
The monetary approach to exchange rates in the CEECs
A panel data set for six Central and Eastern European countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia) is used to estimate the monetary exchange rate model with panel cointegration methods, including the Pooled Mean Group estimator, the Fully Modified Least Square estimator and the Dynamic Least Square estimator.The monetary model is able to convincingly explain the long-run dynamics of exchange rates in CEECs, particularly when this is supplemented by a Balassa-Samuelson effect.We then use our long-run monetary estimates to compute equilibrium exchange rates.Finally, we discuss the implications for the accession of selected countries to the European Economic and Monetary Union.
- ISBN
-
951-686-876-2
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: BOFIT Discussion Papers ; No. 14/2003
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Foreign Exchange
Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
- Thema
-
Exchange rates
monetary model
panel unit root tests
panel cointegration
EMU
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús
Fidrmuc, Jarko
MacDonald, Ronald
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)
- (wo)
-
Helsinki
- (wann)
-
2003
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús
- Fidrmuc, Jarko
- MacDonald, Ronald
- Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)
Entstanden
- 2003