Estimating Incentive and Welfare Effects of Non-stationary Unemployment Benefits

Arbeitspapier

The distribution of unemployment duration in our equilibrium matching model with spell-dependent unemployment benefits displays a time-varying exit rate. Building on Semi-Markov processes, we translate these exit rates into an expression for the aggregate unemployment rate. Structural estimation using a German micro-data set (SOEP) allows us to discuss the effects of a recent unemployment benefit reform (Hartz IV). The reform reduced unemployment by only 0:3%. Contrary to general beliefs, we find that both employed and unemployed workers gain (the latter from an intertemporal perspective). The reason is the rise in the net wage caused by more vacancies per unemployed worker.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research ; No. 328

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity ; Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search ; Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: Public Policy ; Estimation: General
• Subject: Non-stationary unemployment benefits ; endogenous effort ; matching model ; structural estimation ; Semi-Markov process ; Arbeitslosenversicherung ; Arbeitsmarktreform ; Wirkungsanalyse ; Arbeitslosigkeit ; Arbeitsangebot ; Anreiz ; Wohlfahrtsanalyse ; Deutschland

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Launov, Andrey ; Wälde, Klaus
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
• (where): Berlin
• (when): 2010

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/150873
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET