Arbeitspapier

Estimating incentive and welfare effects of non-stationary unemployment benefits

The distribution of unemployment duration in our equilibrium matching model with spell-dependent unemployment benefits displays a time-varying exit rate. Building on Semi-Markov processes, we translate these exit rates into an expression for the aggregate unemployment rate. Structural estimation using a German micro-data set (SOEP) allows us to discuss the effects of a recent unemployment benefit reform (Hartz IV). The reform reduced unemployment by only 0.3%. Contrary to general beliefs, we find that both employed and unemployed workers gain (the latter from an intertemporal perspective). The reason is the rise in the net wage caused by more vacancies per unemployed worker.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 4958

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: Public Policy
Estimation: General
Thema
Non-stationary unemployment benefits
endogenous effort
matching model
structural estimation
semi-Markov process
Arbeitslosenversicherung
Hartz-Reform
Wirkungsanalyse
Arbeitslosigkeit
Arbeitsangebot
Ökonomischer Anreiz
Wohlfahrtseffekt
Deutschland

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Launov, Andrey
Wälde, Klaus
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Launov, Andrey
  • Wälde, Klaus
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2010

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