Arbeitspapier

Nominal GDP targeting and the zero lower bound: Should we abandon inflation targeting?

I compare nominal GDP level targeting to flexible inflation targeting in a small New Keynesian model subject to the zero lower bound on nominal policy rates. First, I study the performance of optimal discretionary policies. I find that, for a standard calibration, inflation targeting under discretion leaves the economy open to a deflationary trap. Nominal GDP level targeting under discretion, by contrast, provides a firm nominal anchor to the economy. Second, I study simple policy rules and the role of smoothing in the rules. With smoothing, a Taylor-type rule performs as well as a nominal GDP level rule. These result suggest that inflation targeting should not be ditched. Still, it can be improved significantly, by using policy rate smoothing to anchor inflation firmly.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 270

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
nominal GDP target
optimal policy
simple rules
zero lower bound

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Billi, Roberto M.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Sveriges Riksbank
(where)
Stockholm
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Billi, Roberto M.
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Time of origin

  • 2013

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