Arbeitspapier

Wars of Conquest and Independence

Wars of conquest and wars of independence are characterized by an asymmetric payoff structure: one party gets aggregate production if it wins, and its own production if it loses, while the other party gets only its own production if it wins, and nothing if it loses. We study a model of war with such an asymmetric payoff structure, and private information about military technologies. We characterize continuous equilibrium strategies and find that the party that gets aggregate production when winning fights aggressively only if its military technology is relatively good, while the other party fights quite aggressively even if its military technology is relatively poor. From an ex ante perspective, this other party is therefore more likely to win the war unless its expected military technology is considerably worse. Our model may thus explain why defending countries and secessionist groups often win against much larger opponents.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 4282

Classification
Wirtschaft
Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
National Security and War
Subject
conflict
war
asymmetric contests
private information

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hodler, Roland
Yektas, Hadi
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hodler, Roland
  • Yektas, Hadi
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2013

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