Impacto fiscal da demografia na previdência social

Arbeitspapier

This study sought to quantify the impact of demographics on the expense of the public pensions as a share (%) of the Gross Domestic Product GDP, by 2060 and 2100, based upon a simplified forecasting model. The results show a strong expansion in expenditures due to the fast and intense process of population ageing, an increase which can be alleviated by raising the retirement age, increasing the level of employment and limiting the transmission of the active workers productivity gains to retirees and pensioners and other adjustment possibilities. In any case, the government should conduct reforms in order to correct distortions and minimize risks for the financial and actuarial sustainability of the Brazilian social insurance schemes.

Object Details

• Language: Portugiesisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Texto para Discussão ; No. 2291

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts ; Social Security and Public Pensions ; Health, Education, and Welfare: General
• Subject: demography ; social security ; pension expenditures

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Costanzi, Rogério Nagamine ; Ansiliero, Graziela
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)
• (where): Brasília
• (when): 2017

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/177507
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET