Arbeitspapier

Unintended Consequences of China’s New Labor Contract Law on Unemployment and Welfare Loss of the Workers

China's new Labor Contract Law, which intended to strengthen the labor protection for workers, went into effect on January 1, 2008. The law stipulated that the maximum cumulative duration of successive fixed-term (temporary) labor contracts is 10 years, and employees working for the same employer for more than 10 consecutive years are able to secure an open-ended (permanent) labor contract under the new law, which is highly desirable to employees. However, in order to circumvent the new Labor Contract Law, some employers may have dismissed workers, after the passage of the new law, who had worked in the same firm for more than 10 years. Using data from the 2008 China General Social Survey, we find strong evidence that firms did in fact dismiss their formal-contract employees who have been employed for more than 10 years. Additionally, using a regression discontinuity design based on this exogenous change in unemployment status for this particular group of workers, we show that the dismissed workers suffered significant welfare loss in terms of happiness. Our results are robust to various specifications and placebo tests.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: GLO Discussion Paper ; No. 242

Classification
Wirtschaft
Labor Contracts
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
General Welfare; Well-Being
Subject
Labor Contract Law
Unemployment
Happiness
Regression Discontinuity Design
China

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Akee, Randall
Zhao, Liqiu
Zhao, Zhong
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Global Labor Organization (GLO)
(where)
Maastricht
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Akee, Randall
  • Zhao, Liqiu
  • Zhao, Zhong
  • Global Labor Organization (GLO)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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