Arbeitspapier
Testing DSGE models by indirect inference and other methods: Some Monte Carlo experiments
Using Monte Carlo experiments, we examine the performance of Indirect Inference tests of DSGE models, usually versions of the Smets-Wouters New Keynesian model of the US postwar period. We compare these with tests based on direct inference (using the Likelihood Ratio), and on the Del Negro-Schorfheide DSGE-VAR weight. We find that the power of all three tests is substantial so that a false model will tend to be rejected by all three; but that the power of the indirect inference tests are by far the greatest, necessitating re-estimation by indirect inference to ensure that the model is tested in its fullest sense.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2012/15
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- Thema
-
bootstrap
DSGE
New Keynesian
New Classical
indirect inference
Wald statistic
likelihood ratio
DSGE-VAR weight
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Vo Phuong Mai Le
Meenagh, David
Minford, Patrick
Wickens, Michael
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
- (wo)
-
Cardiff
- (wann)
-
2012
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Vo Phuong Mai Le
- Meenagh, David
- Minford, Patrick
- Wickens, Michael
- Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
Entstanden
- 2012