Arbeitspapier

Testing DSGE models by indirect inference and other methods: Some Monte Carlo experiments

Using Monte Carlo experiments, we examine the performance of Indirect Inference tests of DSGE models, usually versions of the Smets-Wouters New Keynesian model of the US postwar period. We compare these with tests based on direct inference (using the Likelihood Ratio), and on the Del Negro-Schorfheide DSGE-VAR weight. We find that the power of all three tests is substantial so that a false model will tend to be rejected by all three; but that the power of the indirect inference tests are by far the greatest, necessitating re-estimation by indirect inference to ensure that the model is tested in its fullest sense.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2012/15

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Thema
bootstrap
DSGE
New Keynesian
New Classical
indirect inference
Wald statistic
likelihood ratio
DSGE-VAR weight

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Vo Phuong Mai Le
Meenagh, David
Minford, Patrick
Wickens, Michael
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(wo)
Cardiff
(wann)
2012

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Vo Phuong Mai Le
  • Meenagh, David
  • Minford, Patrick
  • Wickens, Michael
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Entstanden

  • 2012

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