Arbeitspapier

The Global Natural Gas Market. Will transport cost reductions lead to lower prices?

Reduced transportation costs are usually associated with lower import prices, increased trade and price convergence. In this paper we show that the lower costs can actually lead to higher import prices in some regions, and price divergence between import regions. Using both a general theoretical approach and a numerical model of the global natural gas market, we demonstrate that the price effect from transport cost reductions depend on the relative distances between regional markets, the choice of transport technology, and supply and demand responsiveness in the different markets. Our numerical results suggest that European consumers would generally be better off if pipeline costs are reduced, while North American consumers would be better off if LNG costs are reduced.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 523

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Gas Utilities; Pipelines; Water Utilities
Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply; Prices
Transportation Economics: General
Thema
Natural gas
trade
transport costs
price convergence
numerical model

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Rosendahl, Knut Einar
Sagen, Eirik Lund
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Statistics Norway, Research Department
(wo)
Oslo
(wann)
2007

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Rosendahl, Knut Einar
  • Sagen, Eirik Lund
  • Statistics Norway, Research Department

Entstanden

  • 2007

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