Arbeitspapier

A joint analysis of the KOSPI 200 option and ODAX option markets dynamics

As a function of strike and time to maturity the implied volatility estimation is a challenging task in financial econometrics. Dynamic Semiparametric Factor Models (DSFM) are a model class that allows for the estimation of the implied volatility surface (IVS) in a dynamic context, employing semiparametric factor functions and time-varying loadings. Because financial asset volatilities move over time, across assets and over markets, this paper analyses volatility interaction between German and Korean stock markets. As proxy for the volatility, factor loadings series derived from a DSFM application on option prices are employed. We examine volatility transmission between the markets under the vector autoregressive (VAR) model framework. Our results show that a shock in the volatility of one market may not translate directly into greater uncertainty in another market and it is unlikely that portfolio investors can benefit from diversification among these markets due to cointegration.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: SFB 649 Discussion Paper ; No. 2009,019

Classification
Wirtschaft
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Subject
implied volatility surface
dynamic semiparametric factor model
VAR
cointegration
Börsenkurs
Volatilität
Internationaler Preiszusammenhang
Spillover-Effekt
Faktorenanalyse
Kointegration
Schätzung
Aktienmarkt
Deutschland
Südkorea

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cao, Ji
Härdle, Wolfgang Karl
Mungo, Julius
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cao, Ji
  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl
  • Mungo, Julius
  • Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk

Time of origin

  • 2009

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