Arbeitspapier

What drives urban consumption in mainland China? The role of property price dynamics

This paper adds to the literature on wealth effects on consumption by disentangling house price effects on consumption for mainland China. In a stochastic modelling framework, the riskiness, rate of increase and persistence of house price movements have different implications for the consumption/housing ratio. We exploit the geographical variation in property prices by using a quarterly city-level panel dataset for the pe-riod 1998Q1 2009Q4 and rely on a panel error correction model. Overall, the results suggest a significant long run impact of property prices on consumption. They also broadly confirm the predictions from the theo-retical model.

ISBN
978-952-462-708-5
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: BOFIT Discussion Papers ; No. 13/2011

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Housing Supply and Markets
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East
Subject
Consumption
house prices
China
panel data

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Chen, Yu-Fu
Funke, Michael
Mehrotra, Aaron
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Chen, Yu-Fu
  • Funke, Michael
  • Mehrotra, Aaron
  • Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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