CLGAN: a generative adversarial network (GAN)-based video prediction model for precipitation nowcasting
Abstract The prediction of precipitation patterns up to 2 h ahead, also known as precipitation nowcasting, at high spatiotemporal resolutions is of great relevance in weather-dependent decision-making and early warning systems. In this study, we are aiming to provide an efficient and easy-to-understand deep neural network – CLGAN (convolutional long short-term memory generative adversarial network) – to improve the nowcasting skills of heavy precipitation events. The model constitutes a generative adversarial network (GAN) architecture, whose generator is built upon a u-shaped encoder–decoder network (U-Net) and is equipped with recurrent long short-term memory (LSTM) cells to capture spatiotemporal features. The optical flow model DenseRotation and the competitive video prediction models ConvLSTM (convolutional LSTM) and PredRNN-v2 (predictive recurrent neural network version 2) are used as the competitors. A series of evaluation metrics, including the root mean square error, the critical success index, the fractions skill score, and object-based diagnostic evaluation, are utilized for a comprehensive comparison against competing baseline models. We show that CLGAN outperforms the competitors in terms of scores for dichotomous events and object-based diagnostics. A sensitivity analysis on the weight of the GAN component indicates that the GAN-based architecture helps to capture heavy precipitation events. The results encourage future work based on the proposed CLGAN architecture to improve the precipitation nowcasting and early warning systems.
- Location
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Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
- Extent
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Online-Ressource
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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CLGAN: a generative adversarial network (GAN)-based video prediction model for precipitation nowcasting ; volume:16 ; number:10 ; year:2023 ; pages:2737-2752 ; extent:16
Geoscientific model development ; 16, Heft 10 (2023), 2737-2752 (gesamt 16)
- Creator
- DOI
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10.5194/gmd-16-2737-2023
- URN
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urn:nbn:de:101:1-2023052504174409752874
- Rights
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Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
- Last update
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14.08.2025, 10:45 AM CEST
Data provider
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Associated
- Ji, Yan
- Gong, Bing
- Langguth, Michael
- Mozaffari, Amirpasha
- Zhi, Xiefei
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