Arbeitspapier
State dependence, duration dependence and unobserved heterogeneity in the employment transitions of the over-50s
This paper examines employment transitions among men and women in the UK aged between 50 and the state pension age. We begin by examining the issue of duration dependence, using standard duration models. We then use a fourth order Markov model to estimate quarterly transitions while allowing for potential endogeneity of initial conditions. The results reject exogeneity of initial conditions and show the importance of both duration dependence and state dependence. This implies there is the potential for any individual to become trapped in non-employment and, ideally, policy should intervene as soon as an individual begins a period of non-employment.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: ISER Working Paper Series ; No. 2007-16
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
- Event
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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Cappellari, Lorenzo
Dorsett, Richard
Haile, Getinet
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)
- (where)
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Colchester
- (when)
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2007
- Handle
- Last update
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10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET
Data provider
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Cappellari, Lorenzo
- Dorsett, Richard
- Haile, Getinet
- University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)
Time of origin
- 2007