Arbeitspapier

A mechanism for booms and busts in housing prices

We study an exchange economy with overlapping generations of consumers who derive utility from consuming a non-durable commodity and housing. A banking sector offers loans to finance housing. We provide a complete characterization of the equilibrium dynamics which alternates between an expansive regime where housing prices increase and banks expand loans and a contractive regime associated with decreasing housing values and shrinking credit volume. Regime switches occur even under small but persistent income changes giving rise to large and recurrent booms and busts in housing prices not reflecting changes in fundamentals.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: KIT Working Paper Series in Economics ; No. 40

Classification
Wirtschaft
Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Subject
OLG
Housing prices
Credit volume
Boom-bust scenarios
Regime switching
Immobilienpreis
Wohnimmobilien
Kredit
Immobilienfinanzierung
Konjunktur
Overlapping Generations
Dynamisches Gleichgewicht
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hillebrand, Marten
Kikuchi, Tomoo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT), Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (ECON)
(where)
Karlsruhe
(when)
2012

DOI
doi:10.5445/IR/1000028302
Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:swb:90-283023
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hillebrand, Marten
  • Kikuchi, Tomoo
  • Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT), Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (ECON)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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