Arbeitspapier

Booms and busts in house prices explained by constraints in housing supply

We study the importance of supply constraints in explaining the heterogeneity in house price cycles across geographies in the United States. Comparing the equilibrium house price generated with and without supply constraints in a representative-agent model under irreversibility of housing investment, we derive a relationship between housing returns and changes in supply constraints and determinants of housing demand. Our empirical analysis shows that supply constraints play an important role in Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) with boom-and-bust behavior. We estimate that, in 19 of the largest MSAs in the United States, supply constraints contributed 25% to the dramatic rise in house prices from 2000 to 2006, and 17% to their sharp fall from 2006 to 2010.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2013-18

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Housing Supply and Markets
Thema
Asset Pricing
Economic models

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bulusu, Narayan
Duarte, Jefferson
Vergara-Alert, Carles
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Canada
(wo)
Ottawa
(wann)
2013

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2013-18
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Bulusu, Narayan
  • Duarte, Jefferson
  • Vergara-Alert, Carles
  • Bank of Canada

Entstanden

  • 2013

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