Arbeitspapier

International evidence on stochastic and deterministic monetary neutrality

We analyze the issue of the impact of multiple breaks on monetary neutrality results, using a long annual international data set. We empirically verify whether neutrality propositions remain addressable (and if so, whether they hold or not), when unit root tests are carried out allowing for multiple structural breaks in the long-run trend function of the variables. It is found that conclusions on neutrality are sensitive to the number and location of breaks. In order to interpret the evidence for structural breaks, we introduce a notion of deterministic monetary neutrality, which naturally arises in the absence of permanent stochastic shocks to the variables.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Papers ; No. 2008-04

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Statistical Simulation Methods: General
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
Monetary Policy
Thema
Deterministic and Stochastic Neutrality and Superneutrality of Money
Unit Roots
Structural Breaks
Resampling Methods
Neutralität des Geldes
Unit Root Test
Strukturbruch
Welt

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Noriega, Antonio E.
Soria, Luis M.
Velázquez, Ramón
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Banco de México
(wo)
Ciudad de México
(wann)
2008

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Noriega, Antonio E.
  • Soria, Luis M.
  • Velázquez, Ramón
  • Banco de México

Entstanden

  • 2008

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