Arbeitspapier

Estimation and inference by the method of projection minimum distance

A covariance-stationary vector of variables has a Wold representation whose coefficients can be semi-parametrically estimated by local projections (Jordà, 2005). Substituting the Wold representations for variables in model expressions generates restrictions that can be used by the method of minimum distance to estimate model parameters. We call this estimator projection minimum distance (PMD) and show that its parameter estimates are consistent and asymptotically normal. In many cases, PMD is asymptotically equivalent to maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and nests GMM as a special case. In fact, models whose ML estimation would require numerical routines (such as VARMA models) can often be estimated by simple least-squares routines and almost as efficiently by PMD. Because PMD imposes no constraints on the dynamics of the system, it is often consistent in many situations where alternative estimators would be inconsistent.We provide several Monte Carlo experiments and an empirical application in support of the new techniques introduced.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2007-56

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
Thema
Econometric and statistical methods
New-Keynesian Phillips Curve
Inferenzstatistik
Schätztheorie
Nichtparametrisches Verfahren
Theorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Jordà, Òscar
Kozicki, Sharon
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Canada
(wo)
Ottawa
(wann)
2007

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2007-56
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Jordà, Òscar
  • Kozicki, Sharon
  • Bank of Canada

Entstanden

  • 2007

Ähnliche Objekte (12)