Arbeitspapier

Towards a consumer sentiment channel of monetary policy

We investigate the role of consumer confidence in the transmission of monetary policy shocks from an empirical and theoretical perspective. Standard VAR based analysis suggests that an empirical measure of consumer confidence drops significantly after a monetary tightening and amplifies the impact of monetary policy on aggregate consumption. Using a behavioral DSGE model, we show that a consumer sentiment channel can account for the empirical findings. In an environment of heterogeneous expectations, which gives rise to the notion of consumer sentiment, innovations to the Federal Funds rate impact on consumer confidence and thereby the broader economy.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers ; No. 91

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Subject
monetary policy
monetary transmission
consumer sentiment

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Debes, Sebastian
Gareis, Johannes
Mayer, Eric
Rüth, Sebastian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Würzburg, Department of Economics
(where)
Würzburg
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Debes, Sebastian
  • Gareis, Johannes
  • Mayer, Eric
  • Rüth, Sebastian
  • University of Würzburg, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2014

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