Arbeitspapier

Government spending multipliers under the zero lower bound: Evidence from Japan

Using a rich data set on government spending forecasts in Japan, we provide new evidence on the effects of unexpected changes in government spending when the nominal interest rate is near the zero lower bound (ZLB). The on-impact output multiplier is 1.5 in the ZLB period, and 0.6 outside of it. We estimate that government spending shocks increase both private consumption and investment during the ZLB period but crowd them out in the normal period. There is evidence that expected inflation increases by more in the ZLB period than in the normal period.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper ; No. 2017-40

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Fiscal Policy
Subject
Fiscal policy
Economic models
Öffentliche Ausgaben
Multiplikator
Niedrigzinspolitik
Neoklassische Synthese
Theorie
Japan

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Miyamoto, Wataru
Nguyen, Thuy Lan
Sergeyev, Dmitriy
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2017

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2017-40
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Miyamoto, Wataru
  • Nguyen, Thuy Lan
  • Sergeyev, Dmitriy
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2017

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