Arbeitspapier

A value at risk analysis of credit default swaps

We study the risk of holding credit default swaps (CDS) in the trading book. In particular, we compare the Value at Risk (VaR) of a CDS position to the VaR for investing in the respective firm's equity. Our sample consists of CDS – stock price pairs for 86 actively traded firms over the period from March 2003 to October 2006. We find that the VaR for a stock is usually far larger than the VaR for a position in the same firm's CDS. However, the distance between CDS VaR and equity VaR is markedly smaller for firms with high credit risk. The distance also declines for longer holding periods. We also observe a positive correlation between CDS and equity VaR.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Paper Series 2 ; No. 2008,12

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing; option pricing
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Thema
Credit default swap
Value at Risk
Capital structure arbitrage
Börsenkurs
Credit Default Swap
Kapitalbeteiligung
Value at Risk
Vergleich
Kapitalstruktur
Welt

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Scheicher, Martin
Raunig, Burkhard
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2008

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:46 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Scheicher, Martin
  • Raunig, Burkhard
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Entstanden

  • 2008

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