Artikel

Driving Forces of the Swiss Output Gap

What drives the output gap? Contrary to standard agnostic statistical approaches, New Keynesian small open economy models allow decomposing the output gap into its shocks and confirm the conventional wisdom that most of the variation is due to foreign shocks. However, the risk premium shock also plays an important role. It has a procyclical effect on the output gap except for the most recent recession, where the economic agents demanded a higher risk premium probably due to the large Swiss financial sector. This helped to dampen the recession because of the depreciation of the domestic currency due to this shock.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics ; ISSN: 2235-6282 ; Volume: 149 ; Year: 2013 ; Issue: 4 ; Pages: 493-531 ; Heidelberg: Springer

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Bayesian Analysis: General
Model Construction and Estimation
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Thema
DSGE models
output gap
small open economy
business cycle

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Leist, Stefan
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Springer
(wo)
Heidelberg
(wann)
2013

DOI
doi:10.1007/BF03399399
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Leist, Stefan
  • Springer

Entstanden

  • 2013

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