Arbeitspapier

Identifying fiscal inflation

Fiscal theorists warn about the risk of future in.ation as a consequence of current fiscal imbalances in the US. Because actual in.ation remains historically low and data on inflation expectations do not corroborate such risks, warnings for fiscal inflation are often ignored in policy and academic circles. This paper shows that a canonical NK- DSGE model enables identifying an anticipated component of in.ation expectations that is closely related to fiscal policy. Estimation results suggest that fiscal inflation concerns have induced a 1.6%-points increase in long-run inflation since 2001. The model also rationalizes why data on in.ation expectations do not reveal such concerns outright.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 273

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Fiscal Policy
Subject
Fiscal policy
inflation
news

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
De Graeve, Ferre
Queijo von Heideken, Virginia
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Sveriges Riksbank
(where)
Stockholm
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • De Graeve, Ferre
  • Queijo von Heideken, Virginia
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Time of origin

  • 2013

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